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Home Sales Are Set to Surge

New Homes Are Now Cheaper Than Existing Ones. How Long Can That Last?

In a market known for its steep prices and unpredictable shifts, a surprising new trend is turning heads across the U.S. housing sector: newly built homes are now cheaper than existing ones—and have been for months.

This isn’t just a statistical quirk. For four straight months, the median sales price of new homes has come in below that of previously owned homes—something that’s never happened in such a sustained way in modern U.S. housing data.

In July, the median price of a newly built home stood at $419,300, roughly $19,000 less than the median price of an existing home. The gap was even wider in June, when the difference hit nearly $28,000, or 6.5%—the most significant price inversion in at least 25 years.

The historical norm has always favored new construction commanding a premium. That made intuitive sense: new homes typically come with fewer repairs, modern layouts, and updated appliances. So how did the script flip?

The short answer? Builders are cutting prices. In the face of cooling buyer demand, builders are proving more nimble—and motivated—than traditional home sellers.

“Builders are more motivated sellers,” says Joel Berner, senior economist at Realtor.com. “Most sellers of existing homes have an inventory of one, while builders have hundreds or even thousands of homes to move.”

In a sluggish market, that matters. While resale homeowners can afford to be choosy—delisting if offers don’t meet expectations—builders operate under different constraints. They have investors to answer to, debt to service, and inventory piling up.

As of July, new homes had 9.2 months’ worth of supply on the market—nearly double the 4.7 months for resale homes. That imbalance is prompting builders to get aggressive, cutting base prices and layering on incentives like mortgage rate buy-downs, closing cost contributions, and upgrades at no extra cost.

“Sticker price is only part of the story,” says Berner. “When you add in these incentives, the actual price gap between new and existing homes is likely even larger.”

Another driver behind cheaper new homes is design downsizing. Builders, facing a more cost-conscious buyer, have shifted toward smaller floor plans to maintain affordability. While new homes are still typically larger than existing ones, the margin is narrowing.

On a per-square-foot basis, the trend holds: new-construction homes now average about $218.66 per square foot, compared to $226.56 for existing homes, according to Realtor.com data.

In other words, even after adjusting for size, new homes remain the better deal in many markets.

Some of the price divergence can be chalked up to where homes are being built. New construction tends to be concentrated in lower-cost regions, particularly the South, which now accounts for 60% of all new-home sales, but just 46% of resale transactions.

However, that regional skew has been present for years. It doesn’t explain why price inversion has emerged only recently—and persisted this long.

A more nuanced factor may lie in the psychology of buyers and sellers. While logic might suggest that buyers see new and existing homes as interchangeable, real-world behavior hints at something more complex. Some buyers appear to have strong preferences for older homes—due to location, charm, or lot size—and are willing to pay a premium for them.

Still, the idea that resale homes would consistently command more than brand-new ones, regardless of condition or location, strains credulity.

What seems more plausible is that resale prices are “stickier”—slower to react to changing market dynamics—while builders have responded quickly to dwindling demand by adjusting pricing.

“Weak buyer demand this summer has builders scrambling,” Berner explains. “Meanwhile, existing-home sellers are holding firm.”

That stickiness is showing up in other ways. Delistings have surged, as homeowners—many of whom locked in ultra-low mortgage rates during the pandemic—prefer to pull their listings rather than accept offers below their expectations.

The result? A kind of standoff: sellers unwilling to budge on price, and buyers unable (or unwilling) to stretch their budgets further.

This divergence raises an uncomfortable question: Are resale prices out of sync with market reality?

“If resale prices aren’t falling when supply is high and demand is low, are those prices a true reflection of the market?” Berner asks.

It’s a critical point. If homeowners continue to resist price cuts, the resale market may remain stuck in a holding pattern. Builders, on the other hand, will continue to adjust—and may increasingly dominate the attention of serious buyers.

The long-term implications are uncertain. On one hand, if demand remains soft and sellers eventually capitulate, we could see a broader price correction—more gradual than a crash, but impactful nonetheless.

On the other, if interest rates fall or incomes rise, some of the affordability pressure could ease, allowing the resale market to catch up and reassert its usual pricing hierarchy.

But for now, the inversion appears likely to persist, at least in the near term.

For homebuyers, this moment presents a rare opportunity. In a market that still feels unaffordable to many, new homes are suddenly offering more value—not just in price, but in financing flexibility and move-in readiness.

For those able to be flexible on location or willing to embrace newer developments, builders are effectively rolling out the red carpet.

“You’re getting more house for less money—and fewer surprises after moving in,” says Berner.

Of course, new construction isn’t right for everyone. Older homes often offer better proximity to city centers, mature landscaping, and established communities. But in a housing market long defined by scarcity, this shift offers something increasingly rare: a buyer’s edge.

As the housing market enters the final stretch of 2025, all eyes will be on interest rates, inventory levels, and consumer sentiment. If mortgage rates begin to ease, demand could rebound and reshape the current dynamics.

Until then, the pricing inversion—while strange—may remain the new normal.

Whether it proves to be a blip or a longer-term realignment, one thing is clear: in today’s housing market, new doesn’t necessarily mean more expensive. And for budget-conscious buyers, that could make all the difference.